
April-May 2025 55
ahead of the 1.7 per cent equivalent increase
in the UK economy in the same period”.
McWilliams says: “Estimates from the IMF
suggest that living standards in Europe
have fallen by about a third relative to the
US since 2000. America has overtaken all
the major advanced economies of the EU
and this gap is expected to grow through to
2030”.
The Financial Times says: “Average per
capita income levels in purchasing-power-
parity terms in Europe have fallen to around
one-third below those in the US, according
to the IMF. What’s more, per capita income
in the US has overtaken all the major
advanced economies of the EU and the fund
forecasts this gap will only widen further
over the rest of this decade”.
Article ‘Rembrandt’s dad wanted his son
to get a ‘real job’, The
Irish Times,
6 July
2024
The first half of this article borrows
extensively from Philipp Blom’s ‘Nature’s
Mutiny’ [WW Norton, 2019 translation]. This
book is not mentioned within the text, nor
does McWilliams mention Blom’s name in
any of this article. All in all, the first half of
this article is almost entirely paraphrased
from Blom’s work, without any attribution
given.
McWilliams says: “Rembrandt was
fascinated by what was landing on the
docks of Amsterdam — exotic flowers,
saplings and spices from Indonesia, oriental
rugs and Chinese porcelain, tea and coee,
sugar and mahogany furniture”.
Blom (page 94) says: “He remained
fascinated by the world of classical
antiquity, which he had first encountered at
school, and by the vast stream of exotic
goods, objects, and stories arriving with the
trading ships from across the seas”.
McWilliams says: “Not since
Constantinople in its pomp was a city home
to so many languages, nationalities and
ethnicities.”
Blom (page 94-5) says: “Not since ancient
Rome or even Constantinople had so much
diversity, so many languages, cultures, and
wares rubbed up against one another as in
seventeenth-century Amsterdam”.
McWilliams says: “On the farms,
plummeting temperatures from the Little Ice
Age pushed down cereal yields, making it
less profitable to farm wheat and grains,
pushing local farmers into the cities”.
Blom (page 92) says: “The cheap grain
being unloaded onto the docks of
Amsterdam dictated prices throughout the
land, as the Little Ice Age made itself felt
with even greater severity in the Northern
European countries, where conditions for
agriculture had always been rather marginal.
Many farmers…moved into cities”.
Article: ‘Climate Change is a Threat.
Fanaticism is a Bigger One’ (The
Irish Times,
10 February, 2024).
Early in the article David McWilliams
places the following statement within the
text: “(If you are interested in the economic
history of the period, read ‘Georey Parker’s
Global Crisis: War, Climate Change &
Catastrophe in the Seventeenth Century’)”.
In many cases, the text is almost identical.
McWilliams says: “The year 1627 was the
wettest recorded in Europe in 500 years,
while the following year became known as
‘the year without a summer’. Lower
temperatures meant crops failed to ripen”.
Parker (page 3) says: “The summer of
1627 was the wettest recorded in Europe
during the past 500 years, and 1628 saw a
‘year without a summer’, with temperatures
so low that many crops never ripened”.
McWilliams says: “In Ireland, snow in
October 1641 signalled what was the
coldest winter on record leading to a “dearth
of corn as not seen in Ireland in memory”.
Parker (page 5) says: “and in Ireland, frost
and snow in October 1641 began what
contemporaries considered ‘a more bitter
winter than was of some years before or
since seen in Ireland’”.
McWilliams says: “This affected the
economy in three specific ways. First, most
people spent most of their money on food
so that incomes were immediately slashed.
Second, spending on food reduced spending
on anything else, knocking on negatively to
artisans. Third, food prices don’t rise in a
straight line, they spike upwards. Suppose
a farmer harvested 500 bushels of grain. Of
this he needed 175 to feed his animals and
75 for his family, leaving 250 for the market.
Imagine bad harvest cuts production by 30
per cent to 350 bushels. The farmer still
needs 250 for his own use, leaving only 100
bushels for the market, a fall of 60 per cent”.
Parker (pages 20-21) says: ”Shortage and
hunger’ could arise in three distinct ways.
First, since food accounted for up to half the
total expenditure of most families, an
increase in staple prices caused hardship.
Second, spending more on food left little or
nothing with which to purchase other goods,
leading to a fall in demand...Third, any
shortfall in the harvest reduced the food
supply geometrically and not arithmetically
because the impact of harvest failure on the
price of cereals is non -linear…If bad weather
reduced his crop by 30 per cent, the harvest
would produce only 350 bushels yet the
farmer still needed 250 of them for his
immediate use. The share available for the
market therefore dropped to 100 bushels —
a fall of 60 per cent”.
Note above and below how McWilliams
misrepresents what is clearly his source.
McWilliams says: “In the 60 years to
1680, Poland was only at peace for 27 years,
Holland for only 14, France for just 11 and
Spain for a mere three years. During the
1640s, the years of revolt in Ireland, no
European state avoided war”.
Parker (page 27) says: “In the six decades
between 1618 and 1678, Poland was at
peace for only 27 years, the Dutch Republic
for only 14, France for only 11, and Spain for
only 3. Some states fought wars on several
fronts at once. Virtually no European state
avoided war during the 1640s”.
The Irish Times isn’t a great force for
originality but at least its journalists should
not repeat their own earlier works or the
works of others. As to books let’s be kind.
A quote attributed to poet TS Eliot says
“good writers borrow; great writers steal”.
The first half of this article borrows
extensively from Philipp Blom’s ‘Nature’s
Mutiny’. This book is not mentioned within
the text, nor does McWilliams mention
Blom’s name in any of this article