62ā€ƒFebruary 2015
I
N 2009, some months before the
ill-fated UN climate conference
in Copenhagen, an Earth system
framework was proposed by an
international collaboration of
environmental scientists. Their aim was
to establish a measurable set of ā€˜planetary
boundariesā€™ with a view to identifying a
ā€™safe operating spaceā€™ for humanity.
The researcher team, involving sci-
entists from a range of disciplines,
developed a set of nine key boundaries,
beyond which lay the risks of ā€œirrevers-
ible and abrupt environmental changeā€.
In January 2015, the team published an
in-depth update on their investigations in
the journal Science, and it was discussed
in depth at the recent World Economic
Forum in Davos. The ļ¬ndings took even
seasoned environmental commentators
and observers by surprise.
The paper conļ¬rmed that humanity
has already breached four of the nine
key boundaries, namely biodiversity loss,
deforestation, atmospheric CO2 levels
and the ļ¬‚ows of nitrogen and phospho-
rus used in agriculture into the worldā€™s
waterways and oceans.
The era known as the Holocene began
almost 12,000 years ago, just as the
last Ice Age was in full retreat and cli-
matic conditions favourable to humans
led to our exponential surge. Human
expansion was marked throughout
this period with spasms of extinctions,
as well as major changes in land cover
and use. Our mastery of ļ¬re in partic-
ular allowed humanity to alter entire
ecological systems radically, thousands
of years before the industrial revolution.
We have been a signiļ¬cant force on the
planet for millennia; what has so pro-
foundly altered in the modern era has
been the rate and scale of change.
In the last two centuries, human num-
bers increased more than seven-fold. In
the 20th century alone, we consumed
more energy than used by all humans in
the preceding 10,000 years. And in the
ļ¬rst decade and a half of the 21st century,
the exponential surge in human numbers
and impacts has continued unabated.
Growth, expansionism and the meet-
ing of human needs and desires primarily
by consumption is the dominant ideol-
ogy of this era in human history, and are
essential to the ever-expanding engine of
globalised capitalism. In this paradigm,
the entire natural world is both a quarry
from which we can extract an unlimited
supply of ā€˜resourcesā€™ to fuel the Age of
Man and a dump into which we can qui-
etly excrete the toxic by-products of this
whirlwind of activity.
To downscale the biosphere into a sin-
gle human body, you could also identify
nine key systems which operate both
independently and as part of a closely
integrated biological system. The heart,
lungs, liver, endocrine system, brain,
nervous system, kidneys and digestive
system are all ā€˜boundaryā€™ systems, and
each in turn support myriad sub-sys-
tems, as well as combining to deļ¬ne our
overall health and well-being.
The ā€˜planetary boundariesā€™ report is
the planetary equivalent of the doctor
informing an individual that his heart
is badly damaged, his lungs are dis-
eased, his liver is barely functioning and
his kidneys are showing signs of acute
organ failure. The good news is that his
brain is still functioning well, his diges-
tive system is in reasonable shape and
Humanity has breached four of nine key
boundaries: biodiversity, CO2, deforestation
and water pollution by agriculture.
By John Gibbons
ENVIRONMENT CLIMATE CHANGE
Quarry and dump