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    DAA, the next DDDA?

    In another semi-State failure of cost-benefit analysis the DAA has developed terminals at Dublin airport with a 50% over-capacity; and has liabilities of around €1.7bn. by Matthew Harley In the light of recent developments at the Dublin Docklands Development Authority (DDDA), it is time to turn the spotlight on another commercial semi-State body, the Dublin Airport Authority (DAA). The DDDA debacle is just a symptom of a wider rot in our commercial semi-state sector. We have seen that the DDDA operated under a development-driven agenda that had little regard for good governance and no respect for the concept of “value for money”. As a result, the taxpayer may be stuck with a debt of €400 million arising from the purchase of the Irish Glass Bottle site for which the DDDA cannot now even pay the interest. The DAA could hit the taxpayer for five times that sum. The Annual Report for 2009 showed a sharp deterioration in group performance over 2008, with a loss of €13 million compared with a profit (after tax) of €47 million in 2008. The outlook for 2010 and 2011 is even worse. With its grandiose Terminal 2 at Dublin Airport opening for business in the next few weeks (November), the DAA is facing huge revenue shortfalls due to collapsing passenger numbers at a time when it will have to operate two underused terminals. Together, T1 and T2 could handle double the current passenger throughput of Dublin Airport. Terminal 1 handled 23.469 million passengers in 2008, perhaps with some discomfort although the Area 14 extension opened in May 2007.  Terminal 2 is designed for 15 million passengers per annum (mppa). That is a total capacity of 38.5 mppa. In 2009, passenger numbers were down to 20.5 million and are expected by the DAA to be about 19 million in 2010. On recent trends, 18 mppa is a more likely outcome. Retailers too, in a depressed economy, may not pay projected rents. Management will find it very difficult, maybe impossible, to run the airport and repay outstanding loans. As debts accumulate further, the taxpayer may have to bail out the DAA. In 2006, Brian Cowen, then Minister for Finance, increased the DAA’s statutory borrowing limit from the previous level of €0.7 billion to €1.8 billion to allow it to fund its ambitious €2 billion expansion plan. This was driven by the, “If I have it, I spend it”, Celtic Tiger, bubble-generating paradigm that then pervaded government thinking. In the same year he approved the DDDA borrowing up to a more modest €127 million towards the purchase of the Irish Glass Bottle site. DAA debts are growing rapidly. The gross debt was €1.25 billion at the end of 2009 compared to €481 million at the end of 2007. When adjusted for cash balances, net debt at the end of 2009 was €616 million compared to a surplus of €35 million at the end of 2008. Net debt could be €1.1 billion by the end of 2010. DAA debt is guaranteed by the State. Just one part of the current debt, a €600 million bond, requires the DAA to pay a coupon of nearly 6.6% per annum or nearly €40 million a year. The overall annual requirement is probably €60m, and the actual figure last year was that loss of €13m. The Airline Regulator has controversially allowed the DAA to increase passenger charges by up to 40% to counter this – to the fury of airlines. Debt will expand by at least €300 million to some €1.6 billion if the deferred parallel runway or the DAA’s now-preferred longer runway is built as the DAA continues to insist. Total debt may reach the approved €1.8 billion. This total does not include the deficit in the joint DAA/Aer Lingus pension fund, which was €700 million at the end of March 2009. It was estimated in 2006 that the DAA’s share of the then-estimated liability of €336 million, was 40%. The March 2009 €700 million deficit is believed to have fallen to about €500 million due to the improvement in equity markets. Nevertheless, a further €200 million must be added to the limit of the DAA’s liability (€1.8bn), bringing the total to a possible €2 billion. In February 2010, Standard and Poor’s Rating Services downgraded the DAA’s credit rating to BBB+ because of falling passenger numbers, which it expected to decline further in 2010 and weaken the authority’s financial position. Their report even said there was a possibility of extraordinary Government support being provided.  Ryanair’s Michael O’Leary thinks the DAA ”is going to go bust” and will ultimately “fall back on the State”. Declan Collier the DAA’s CEO has vigorously denied this. The DAA was warned about the potential non-viability of Terminal 2 by the Portmarnock Community Association and Ryanair, but these opinions were derided and ignored by the authorities, including An Bord Pleanála. Questions were asked repeatedly in the Dáil and representations were made to ministers on behalf of the PCA (mostly by Trevor Sargent TD and Terence Flanagan TD) about the failure of the DAA to undertake the Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) required by Government investment appraisal guidelines, which is the official test of the sustainability of proposed large-scale public investments. The replies were derisory: Yes, the DAA was subject to the guidelines but, as a commercial semi-State body, it was a matter for the Board to certify to the Minister for Transport that the guidelines had been met. As the Board of the DAA had so certified, the Minister was satisfied that the guidelines had been met. So, in spite of the fact that no Cost Benefit Analysis was ever done, as required by the same guidelines, the Ministers for Transport and Finance persist with the sophism that the guidelines have been satisfied because the DAA Board says so. It seems these ministers are afraid to demand proof that the board has conformed, by asking to see the analysis, for example. Another claim often repeated in these replies

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    Learning to like WikiLeaks

    Ireland too needs whistleblowers—they might have averted our economic detonation. by Dara McHugh At the time of writing, WikiLeaks is preparing to release another cache of classified US military field reports, this time related to the Iraqi war. The previous leak gave an unprecedented look into the conduct of the Afghan war, dispelling the positive spin of Coalition PR, bringing attention to a number of human rights abuses and the cooperation of Pakistani security services with Taliban leaders. After nearly 10 years of war in Afghanistan, this is the most comprehensive picture of the conflict yet, with novel information about the prevalence of combative popular protests, coalition incompetence and increasing civilian drug problems. Unsurprisingly, the leak has also led to widespread condemnation of WikiLeaks, centred on its frontman, Julian Assange, who was reported to be sought for questioning by American security services and now faces investigation for rape accusations in Sweden. The argument against the website has centred on its journalistic responsibility, or lack thereof, as US officials claimed that the leak directly endangered the lives of US soldiers and Afghan informants. WikiLeaks shot back, saying that any such incidents would be down to military carelessness in reports. Moreover, they pointed out, they had contacted the White House in advance of publication, to ask for help identifying any such risks. Two months on, and there are no reports of deaths due to the leaks, but ‘responsibility’ remains the major point of issue between the US Government, mainstream media organisations and their new media rival. Since 2004, American journalists have sought a federal shield law that can protect them from the wrath of governments. This is an increasingly pressing issue, as the Obama administration pursues an unprecedented four simultaneous prosecutions against leakers from the military and security agencies. But in their zeal for protection, legislators and journalists alike are eager to distinguish the journalists who are worthy of protection from those who are not. As Lucy Dalglish, executive director of the Reporters’ Committee for Freedom of the Press told Time magazine, “It’s data dissemination, and that worries me…Journalists will go through a period of consultation before publishing sensitive material. WikiLeaks says it does the same thing. But traditional publishers can be held accountable. Aside from Julian Assange, no one knows who these people are”. Senator Charles Schumer, one of the legislators behind the Free Flow of Information Act, announced in August that he would propose new language to exclude WikiLeaks and similar organisations from its protections. The senator said that “[n]either WikiLeaks, nor its original source for these materials, should be spared in any way from the fullest prosecution possible under the law”. The Act does not propose total immunity, but enables judicial reviews of government-issued subpoenas for journalists to reveal their sources. If the judge finds that the story was in the public interest, the journalist can safely refuse to divulge the source. Initially spurred on by the jailing of Judith Miller during the Valerie Plame affair, the Shield Law has made progress through the House of Representatives, though it will be opposed by the White House. Schumer’s proposed amendment has been supported by media and journalist representative organisations, but political expediency may well be as important as accountability here. WikiLeaks has been the target of much US Government ire, and journalists seeking a favourable piece of legislation are understandably keen to distance themselves from their unpopular new media rival. Kevin Smith of the Society of Professional Journalists said that “this is the closest we’ve come to getting something moved, and it’s unfortunate that this WikiLeaks situation’s come up”. It is worth re-examining what exactly responsible journalism has meant in practice. As Dalglish’s comments indicate, consultation is key. In one sterling case, the New York Times delayed its story on an illegal NSA wiretapping program for a year while consulting with the White House. Important too is respect for official sources. This was ably demonstrated by much of the media during the build-up to the Iraq War. A barrage of misinformation, distortion and outright lies was ferried from the belligerent governments to their populations via the major news organisations. Nonsense stories about Al Qaeda links, nuclear capabilities and 45-minute WMD launch-times filled broadsheet and broadcast alike, while the drumbeat grew louder. With hundreds of thousands of Iraqis dead, we now know that these were fabrications, but the knowledge doesn’t much help us, or them. Irresponsible reporting bears much responsibility! WikiLeaks’ frontman Julian Assange has commented that “in order to make any sensible decision you need to know what’s really going on, and in order to make any just decision you need to know and understand what abuses or plans for abuses are occurring”. To pursue their bellicose ambitions, the American and British Governments required their citizens to be unable to make such sensible decisions, and they achieved this through lies and distortions, abetted by much of the media. It is for less earth-shaking reasons that greater access to information, and the capacity to make sensible decisions, are needed in Ireland, where senselessness from political leaders and business elites has brought the population to face perpetual penury. In two discussion documents for Tasc, Dr Nat O’Connor has assessed the role of information access in Irish democracy, and the economic case for its extension. Dissecting claims from Fianna Fáil ministers that Freedom of Information provisions were overly costly and time-consuming, he points out that the costs of providing these services are more than met by the benefits of greater public knowledge about policy-making. In cases such as the fabled Bertie-bowl of Abbotstown, Roddy Molloy’s expense account and the Skynet electronic voting machines, FOI requests have enabled public scrutiny of wasteful and absurd expenditures. Such cases, O’Connor suggests, show that FOI enables people “to act as efficiency auditors in relation to public policy decisions, especially large, costly ones” . It is telling, therefore, that Ireland has such distinctively poor access to information. In an article for Thestory.ie, O’Connor cites a comparative study

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    Cuts go North

    Some Unions will mobilise on 23 October against 19% UK block-grant reduction.b by Anton McCabe A Comprehensive Spending Review for the North is due for delivery on 20 October. This will announce major cuts, probably of Southern levels. This will have social implications, but also have political ramifications. So far this year, reductions of almost £495million (€583.8million) have been signalled. In January, the then Labour Government announced cutbacks of £367million (€439.8million). In May, the new Conservative-Liberal Government declared another £128million (€153.4million). From reports, it seems these savings were minor compared to what is coming. The Northern Assembly received a block grant of £10,234,400,000 (€12.265billion) for the last financial year. Finance Minister Sammy Wilson has spoken of a cut of £2billion (€2.36billion). This has big social implications. 32% of the workforce is employed in the public sector. The sector represents approximately 62% of the economy. With 50% of public spending going on wages, any significant cut will include significant redundancies and/or sizeable wage cuts. The removal of this spending would exacerbate current economic difficulties, with retailers and the housing market struggling. The cuts would particularly affect women. Approximately half of all women at work are in the public sector. Because they are concentrated in the public sector, the North’s women are more equal to their male equivalents in terms of pay than their British sisters; average female hourly earnings in the North are 97.4% of average male earnings, compared to 87.2% in Britain. The cuts will not go without challenge. The question is how strong that will be. The North has the highest rate of union membership of any UK region, at 39.7%. This again reflects the size of the public sector, still largely unionised in the UK. The unions have gone through a period of decline. While membership has not fallen as steeply as in Britain – partly because of the size of the unionised public sector– activity had fallen back to a point where many union branches didn’t meet, and many unionised workplaces no longer had shop stewards. In the past couple of months, the unions are engaging in a level of public activity not seen since the solidarity collections for the (British) Miners’ Strike of 1984-5. The Irish Congress of Trade Unions has organised Trade Councils to set up stalls in many Northern towns. The most active union has been NIPSA (the Northern Ireland Public Service Alliance), a locally-based union that organises public-sector workers: its membership is mostly, but by no means totally, white-collar. With 46,000 members, NIPSA is the largest Northern-based union. It is seen as quite responsive to its membership. NIPSA official Joan Munton said the union has been working for the past couple of months to mobilise the membership. “There seems to be a willingness to participate”, she said. “Branches are becoming more active. As the detail of the cuts becomes clearer, this activity will escalate, as will the action being taken by the unions”. A series of demonstrations is planned for 23 October, in various towns. The willingness to take strike action against the cuts is still unclear. A branch secretary in UNISON, a union strongest in the health service and with a more blue-collar membership than NIPSA, said the mood in his union was more downbeat. Members were difficult to mobilise. The response to the cuts has opened certain verbal divisions between the parties. Health Minister Michael McGimpsey of the Ulster Unionists wanted to protect his budget from any cuts. Health represents 40% of all public spending, and other ministers were not prepared to take deeper cuts in their departments to spare health. Sinn Féin has proposed a ‘united stand’ of the three devolved administrations (the North, Scotland and Wales). Assembly member Mitchell McLaughlin said cuts “proposed or imposed by the British Government must be challenged and resisted”. In response, Finance Minister Sammy Wilson of the DUP said all politicals needed to be “realistic”: “Everyone is going to feel the pinch of what is coming down the line over the next number of years”. Significantly, McLaughlin is not a minister, and is thus able to speak without destabilising the Executive. The DUP has said that Sinn Féin ministers, like others, are preparing cuts in their departments. Certainly there is no sign of Sinn Féin walking out of the Executive in protest at cuts.

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    The Poolbeg Incinerator: an essay in cynical lobbying

    by Michael Smith Poolbeg has been a costly and unpleasant PR battle. Gormley has faced an insidious onslaught from multiple quarters. Dublin City Council has claimed (in evidence to the Oireachtas Committee on the Environment in February 2010) that the ultimate cost for consultants’ fees in respect of the Poolbeg incinerator could be €50m, with approximately €25m having been spent to date. RPS RPS, infrastructure consultants, were appointed as client representatives (i.e. frontmen) to the City Council in 2001, winning a competitive tender with a value of €6m.  This contract has strangely never been re-tendered, but it seems that the total payments made to RPS exceed €20m. The ESRI Dublin City Council engaged the ESRI, at a cost of  €103,000, to prepare an alternative waste policy to that being developed by Government.  After an aggressive critique of the conclusions of this report by Dr Dominick Hogg, author of the Government’s review of Waste, the ESRI accepted some of its data were wrong. The most blatantly inaccurate presumption was that emissions from the Poolbeg incinerator would be included under the EU Emissions Trading Scheme. This resulted in a significant underestimate of the costs of the facility. The Department of the Environment believes its own report, which included research from an array of acknowledged international academic leaders, was significantly better value at €200,000. MKC Stephen O’Byrnes is one of the most aggressive agents in the unregistered world of Irish lobbying.  He spent 15 years as a journalist with the Irish Independent, and at the Irish Press Group where he was Political Correspondent. Most significantly, in 1986 he was recruited as National Press Officer and Policy Director of the Progressive Democrats.  He was close to Michael McDowell who was unseated by John Gormley in Dublin South East at the last election following a fractions campaign and the infamous ‘Rumble at the Triangle’. In 1995, he left politics for  PR and ‘Public Affairs’ through a company called MKC.  At MKC he leads the company’s Public Affairs team on behalf of a range of clients including Bank of Ireland, ESB National Grid, the Institution of Engineers of Ireland, Google and Thornton’s Recycling. MKC clients also include the American Chamber of Commerce in Ireland and Covanta, though since there is absolutely no system for registration in this country Covanta do not appear in the client list on the MKC website. O’Byrnes is also a member of the RTE Authority and contributes occasional pieces to the media, not untypical of which is an anti-Union diatribe published late last year in the Irish Times under the headline “Sense of victimhood won’t rescue us from this mess”. Among the other partners in MKC is Gerry Howlin, former special advisor to Bertie Ahern, MKC boast that it has “unrivalled experience in public affairs and lobbying….Public Affairs consultant Gerard Howlin and MKC partner Stephen O’Byrnes have worked at the highest political levels in the country”. Certainly MKC is well-got politically, having handled for example  the media launches of the new National Development Plan 2007–2013 and the Dublin Transportation Office’s plans for over €19 billion in investment. On behalf of his clients, Covanta, O’Byrnes deploys a devious device to take in journalists: instead of admitting to the amount of waste that the councils actually control, he issues press releases showing the total amount of waste across all four councils. Little wonder then that there has been hardly any press coverage pointing out how black bin waste is tailing off and that the councils are staring at a massive shortfall. O’Byrnes takes an understandably hostile stance on behalf of his clients to the implementation of discriminatory levies on incinerators like the Poolbeg facility. Stephen O’Byrnes is taking an effective behind-the-scenes role on the Poolbeg incinerator.  He is said to have briefed Stephen Collins before an unusual diatribe from the normally conservative Irish Times political editor in which he berated the Minister in intemperate and tendentious language for delaying issuing the foreshore licence that is needed for Poolbeg’s cooling process.  Collins wrote: “It is extraordinary that one Minister can simply block the project indefinitely, regardless of national policy, EU policy and legal considerations. Given his clear conflict of interest on the issue Gormley should never have been put in a position where through the exercise of his official functions he could simply hold up the project for as long as he remained in office. Either the Minister should have taken himself out of the equation in the exercise of his official functions on Poolbeg or the Taoiseach should have insisted that he do so. [The Greens’] legacy is in danger of being tarnished by the handling of one major project in the Minister’s backyard”. Collins has elsewhere been scathing about Gormley, on several occasions taking pot shots at him.  An editorial in the Irish Times also dismissed the row over the Poolbeg contract as a “Mexican stand-off” and stated that “whatever the outcome, it should not be driven by political ideology or administrative defensiveness but by hard-headed pragmatism and the need to meet EU environmental standards and to protect the public purse”. Gormley has also been assailed by vituperative coverage of the matter elsewhere.  Michael Clifford in the Sunday Tribune accused him of being a “NIMBY”.  More insidiously, MKC represents the American Chamber of Commerce in Ireland which has taken a strong line in favour of Fairfield-New-Jersey based Covanta.  The American Ambassador has lobbied the Taoiseach on the matter. Perhaps MKC’s most abrasive manoeuvre was facilitating a complaint made by Phil Hogan, the blustery Fine Gael spokesperson on the Environment, in July, to the Standards in Public Office Commission about the Minister. The complaint says that Gormley has breached seven aspects of the code of conduct for office-holders and his actions about the incinerator “represent a clear conflict of interest”. Hogan says Gormley is not “promoting the common food fairly and impartially as required by the principles of ethical conduct”, that he’s being influenced by personal considerations and as a result is exposing the

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    Incinerating Money: the economics of Poolbeg

    An overwhelming success story of private sector dynamism in recycling is set to be undone by an oversized incinerator at Poolbeg – at massive cost to Dublin’s businesses James Nix Minimising costs is something we expect local councils to do – especially in difficult times. But it’s an imperative that seemingly doesn’t apply to waste management in Dublin. In fact Dublin City Council already charges needlessly-high commercial rates to city businesses in order to operate its household black-bin collection below the cost of provision. Why cross-subsidise and run the service below its cost? Below-cost charging enables Dublin City Council to retain a big enough share of the black-bin market to suppress the payout due under the penalty clause in the incinerator contract. Penalty payments are expected to amount to €15 million each year from 2013 if the incinerator is built. But that’s only one side of the coin. Add to that the burden of operating the black-bin service below cost – €63 million a year – and ratepayers are needlessly being caught for close to €80 million a year. How has it come to this? Back in 2007 Dublin’s four councils – Dublin City, Fingal, South Dublin, and Dun Laoghaire Rathdown – collected around 300,000 tonnes of residual waste, made up mainly of black-bin waste from households, together with some commercial waste and street sweepings. Almost all of it was sent to landfill. And – if things stayed the way they were – this 300,000 tonnes would be destined for incineration. But, for the four councils, things have changed quite dramatically in the three years since 2007. Private operators have come in to capture large swathes of the market. Brown bins for kitchen and garden-compost waste have been rolled out. Recycling and recovery technology has improved significantly, cutting volumes in black bins. And, to crown it all, for waste, we’ve had the downturn. Current trends indicate that by 2013 it is unlikely the councils will collect even 165,000 tonnes of black-bin waste, which, along with another 30,000 made up of commercial waste and street sweepings, will give a total of about 200,000 tonnes for incineration. The significance of 2013 is that it’s the year the Poolbeg incinerator is due to open. Troublingly, the contract for the proposed 600,000 tonne incinerator, due to be built and operated at Poolbeg by a US-Danish consortium, has a penalty clause. If Dublin’s councils supply less than 320,000 tonnes a year, the penalty means ratepayers and residents pay for waste Dublin’s councils fail to supply. So now, for Dublin’s councils, calls to Reduce, Reuse and Recycle – central tenets of waste policy since the early 1990s – have become more than inconvenient. In fact, if their projections for the next ten to 20 years are anything to go by, Dublin’s councils will want to see waste increasing at implausibly high levels – all to ensure as much feedstock as possible for the incinerator. Before signing the contract in September 2007, Minister for the Environment, John Gormley, asked the councils not to proceed, advising them that their plans were out-of-date. Dublin City Manager, Mr John Tierney, acting on behalf of all four councils, ignored the advice and signed the contract. But, from 2006, private operators – first Panda, later Greenstar – secured waste-collection permits from Dublin’s local authorities and began serving households. And over the following two years the councils realised they had bitten off more than they could chew. In 2008, when it was clear they would no longer be in control of enough waste to avoid the penalty clause, the councils attempted to confine waste-collection to themselves and their chosen contractors, effectively sidelining private operators. Panda and Greenstar took a court case, claiming the attempt to confine waste-management to councils was an abuse of their dominant position and a breach of competition law. In a judgment issued last December, the High Court found that the councils had acted illegally and the court struck down a variation of the regional waste management plan intended to exclude private operators. As Mr Justice McKechnie put it, the councils had clearly “gone beyond what could have been contemplated by the Oireachtas in seeking to re-monopolise the market for household-waste collection”. The High Court judgment also affords some insight into the stance of Dublin City Council, which acts on behalf of all four councils in waste management. In attempting to confine waste management to councils, or their chosen contractors, the High Court noted that Dublin City Council had “massaged” reports, something that is “a strong indicator  …  of unacceptable influence in a process supposedly carried out in the public interest”. Former assistant city manager, Matt Twomey, acted with “bias and prejudgment”, according to the ruling. The judgment means that Dublin’s councils don’t ‘own’ waste generated by residents and can’t re-monopolise the market. (The councils have appealed the Panda judgement to the Supreme Court, but given the strength of the High Court ruling, one wonders if the motivation for the appeal has more to do with buying time and public relations than legal optimism). Private operators now control sizeable sections of the market in three council areas; Dun Laoghaire Rathdown, where the council has withdrawn from waste collection, only has private operators. Very few private operators plan to send waste to Poolbeg if the incinerator is built. Their reasons are simple enough: over the last five years they have invested in developing facilities to serve their businesses, and now operate more cost-effective ways of recycling, recovery and turning waste into fuel: in short, too many existing facilities would have to close. Since entering the waste market private-sector firms have driven innovation. They introduced fortnightly green-bin collections at a time councils only collected once a month and were the first to accept plastics and glass in the green bin. The councils were forced to respond, and later increased their own green bin collections to fortnightly and started accepting some plastics. Recycling of household waste has gone from an average of

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    “Ireland is a disturbed child in a fantasy world”

    Nicola Carroll interviews psychiatrist, Professor Ivor Browne. Ivor Browne is a retired Irish psychiatrist, author, former Chief Psychiatrist of the Eastern Health Board, former celebrated and radical lecturer and Professor Emeritus of Psychiatry at University College Dublin. He was a regular contributor on the Late Late Show in the 1970s and married June Levine, a leader of the women’s liberation movement. It was a second marriage for both of them. Although he was Professor of Psychiatry in UCD, he supported the student revolution in Earlsfort Terrace in ‘68, he took recreational drugs and he played jazz. He is now a regular practitioner of meditation. He was born in 1929 to a well-off family in Sandycove, Dublin, with a father who worked in the head office of a bank, He had an unhappy childhood, was educated in Blackrock College which he disliked and where he performed poorly. academically. He ended up in a secretarial college, but passed the required subjects to get into the College of Surgeons at the age of 17. He travelled around Ireland in his student days, playing traditional music for food and lodging. Despite recurring Tuberculosis, he qualified as a doctor in 1955. In 1959 he founded Claddagh Records with Garech Browne. He worked in Grangegorman Mental Hospital where conditions for the 2,000 patients were medieval. He held positions in Oxford and Harvard and brought new thinking back to Irish psychiatry including the use of new drugs and intensive one-to-one therapy, closing down old institutions and moving patients into the community where they could learn to function again. And all this time Browne was working on himself, shaking off the effects of his isolated childhood and using LSD to explore his own psyche. In your autobiography you describe society as a “boat on a river drifting towards a waterfall”. Is Irish Society perilously close to the edge now? Ireland has all the marks of an adolescent that hasn’t grown up. After nearly 100 years of so-called self-governance this country has failed to reach maturity. I can see the uncanny resemblance between the behaviour of this country and that of so many individuals I have worked with over the years in my role as a psychiatrist and a psychotherapist. Ireland’s childhood was that of a young person growing up in a poor family. Times were hard. But then there was the idealism that was around in 1916 and during the War of Independence. This idealism was sadly destroyed by the Civil War. As a nation we still haven’t recovered. With the genuine idealism that was around in 1916 and 1919, we could have gone on to develop an adult society. Over the last 30 years, we as a nation have had a choice to develop an independent identity and leave the dependance on our ‘parent’ Britain behind us. Instead we bought into a me-now-liberalism and an orgy of greed; and took on the behaviour of a disturbed adolescent who creates a fantasy world and then gets involved in drugs to sustain it. Ireland created a fantasy world which we called success and propped that up with all sorts of addictions. This can be seen clearly in our political world which is awash with alcohol. Irish society is adrift and we can’t be bailed out this time by our parents – and there is no mental hospital to go to. Economic collapse has made Ireland homeless. Do you think this collapse was inevitable? No. We missed an opportunity to ditch this rotten capitalist system before it collapsed and to take a different direction. We failed to do so. If we had any sort of maturity as a nation we could have seen this coming. The so-called developed world talks about recovery and the ‘return to growth’. I think that is arrogant nonsense and I don’t think it is going to happen. Why not? We have polluted the world in every sense. The last century was the bloodiest century ever with millions of human beings killing each other.  There has been a series of man-made disasters starting with global warming and including the recent American oil spill. Natural disasters have always happened but it seems to me things are speeding up. We are going around with our eyes wide shut. Human beings have a terrible arrogance to believe that because we have caused the problems, we also have the solutions. If you believe James Lovelock’s Gaia theory that the biosphere is something alive then it is not going to tolerate a small part like the human species misbehaving.  A healthy body will eliminate bad cells. If the planet is a living system it is inevitable that Nature is going to bring this about. There has been an enormous increase in the world’s population and it is not sustainable. I think the world as we know it is going to collapse in the next 20 years. You sound very fatalistic I don’t feel fatalistic. This has happened before in history. Many advanced civilisations have been destroyed and a small population survived. I think there are better things to come. It is through suffering and hard times that the human race will grow. Cycles have always occurred. Why do we think it’s not possible now? What do you think we should do now? We can only prepare through a spiritual life – of love – for what is coming. I am very optimistic. Where does your certainty come from? It comes from observing. Do you think that human beings are innately good or bad? I think the level of human consciousness is rising. But Capitalism is legitimised organised crime. We have gone too far now and there are no signs of us developing the political machinery to make real change. We have a leaderless society and the politicians we deserve in Ireland. The money that has gone into Anglo Irish Bank alone could have been used to build a healthy society. We could have replaced this lifestyle with a much simpler

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    What 200 years distance from Offaly can do for a man

    Comparing Obama to Cowen is probably unfair but Cowen could at least learn from him the benefits of a Vision By Michael Smith Brian Cowen and Barack Obama have an extraordinary amount in common.  Both are in their late forties, both are lawyers educated at elite law schools, both are articulate – much more articulate than their predecessors, both have two young daughters and beautiful wives.  They lead the two English-speaking countries with the highest average incomes. And both come originally from, um, Offaly.  But there the parallels divide. Mostly they are different, as different as it is possible to imagine two heads of government. It is unfortunate for Ireland (though not for the world)  that the contrasts are all to Cowen’s disadvantage. Many of the extraordinary characteristics of Obama are rooted in the culture and politics of the US and his place in them.  There is no way Ireland could have generated Obama. Let’s have a look at the forces that make these men what they are and see if there is  anything at all that our man can learn. Backgrounds of Obama and Cowen The USA is diverse. Obama comes not just from Offaly but from Offaly via Kenya, Indonesia, Hawaii and Chicago. Such dramatic journeys are not uncommon in America. There is drama too in the fact he is a half-black man in a country where, within living memory, an African-American man would have had to give up his seat on a bus. More important even than these nuggets of race and geography, it was a big help to Obama that he has a “back-story” that can only be described as epic. His Kenyan academic father left home when young “Barry” was two. His mother was dependent for much of his childhood on food stamps. In contrast, Ireland’s political classes are fairly homogenous. Brian Cowen comes, so far as we know, from Offaly via Offaly and was never discriminated against. Background and the political system Background is crucial in US politics. Most US Presidents come to the fore by championing their tribes, to gain a core constituency. Catholics, Jews, Hispanics, women, gays and blacks have all made self-conscious sorties into the Presidential or other important political processes. Because of the US’s diversity a President cannot be elected if he or she is seen to represent the members of only one tribe. Candidates typically use their tribes as a necessary springboard – and then extend their appeal to other tribes by policies. Candidates must try to get into the heads of citizens completely different from themselves. This forces them to think and campaign on a scale that is large and wide. In Ireland we have had a couple of Marys in the Presidency but female is about as politically “disadvantaged” as it gets at the summit; and an exotic or disadvantaged background does not necessarily count for much generally, and certainly has never given any Taoiseach any component of his initial platform. Assuredly Brian Cowen doesn’t try to represent much more than Fianna Fail. He seems comfortable being just Biffo. Trajectory of Obama and Cowen Background is fundamental but for Americans movement in the right direction is essential. The American dream is self-advancement.  Americans have a particular soft spot for people who make good from humble origins. Indeed politicians often compete with each other for claimed childhood impoverishments in the electoral equivalent of the Monty Python “child down’t mine” sketch. For Obama the later upswing is just as dramatic as the initial disadvantage. Barack made it to Columbia and Harvard Law School where he edited the law review (but chose a career in community activism). He is even a multi-millionaire from autobiography sales. In Ireland, fewer politicians seem to make good from deprived backgrounds and they do not seem to be much prejudiced electorally by coming from above-averagely advantaged backgrounds. The epic sense is not really possible in Ireland. Unless perhaps you live, as no-one ever again will, through a war of independence and civil war and, almost alone in Europe, understand the theory of relativity (like DeV). Cowen’s “back-story” – boarding school, GAA, pouring pints in Cowen’s of Clara (which is shortly to be demolished), then on to UCD and a baby amount of marijuana in the Belfield Bar before twenty-five years in politics – could not be more prosaic. We should not blame Cowen for not being epic. There is nothing he can do about the principal differences between his makeup and that of his future US counterpart.  They are all too real but they are not Cowen’s fault. Mandate The US presidential system entails a system  of caucuses and primaries followed usually by a slog-out with a single main opponent in the general election. Obama crossed America repeatedly for two years, during which his every foible and quirk was minutely scrutinised.  Barack’s pastor, his wife, and Sarah Palin’s daughter’s domestic deviancy became  worldwide themes. America, indeed the world, knew the President it was getting by the time Obama faced his electorate. He has a rock strong mandate for the change he proposes. In Ireland the Taoiseach is chosen by the elected parliament. In practice this means that he is chosen by the largest political party. Usually the candidate Taoiseach is known before the election.  Cowen, however, fell into the position without any public campaign or election, after Bertie Ahern anointed him and then resigned. No-one ever noticed who administers communion to Brian Cowen. Nobody paid much attention to his wife’s pride in her country. Nobody really scrutinised his character at all, until now that he has  approval ratings of just 26 per cent in opinion polls. It seems they do not like what they have gotten. Policies The US system’s requirement to knock out a range of opponents requires that the candidates differentiate themselves. This conduces to formulation by candidates of clear policies. The combat that Obama braved against Hillary Clinton and then John McCain required him to articulate clear policies. The Irish system

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    Politics often doesn’t protect Rights

    Human rights and Equality should be protected by  a special constitutionally-recognised ‘Ombudsman’ Donncha O’Connell The infrastructure of any civic society is about much more than road and rail networks or broadband connectivity. The invisible and, perhaps, tenuous bonds of common humanity are just as important. This is, of course, beautifully chaotic but we try to reflect ideals of inter-dependent humanity bonded by vague principles of fairness and fair play in our political infrastructure. It is no longer credible to suggest that there is no such thing as society. In fact, proponents of that view in the UK now profess a belief of sorts in ‘The Big Society’. In Ireland we were ahead of the virtuous curve on this with our habit of ‘volunteerism’. Since the Special Olympics of 2003 this has been re-commodified as ‘active citizenship’ but it was always, in truth, a mixed blessing, especially if you depended on it. Paradoxically, the Special Olympics have been patented as the high point of Irish volunteerism as if to take the bare look off Celtic Tiger individualism that climaxed around the same time. This ruse requires deeper reflection. Things like an Ombudsman (or Human Rights Commissions or Equality Authorities) are refinements of the basic political infrastructure established on the basis of serious political reflection in acknowledgment of the fact that simple tripartite division of power with periodic elections from among the ranks of political parties is not, in and of itself, a sufficient guarantee of full or even meaningful citizenship for people living in the state. The basic narrative for much of this is the 1937 Constitution which must rank with Ulysses for the accolade ‘most referenced but most unread’. But the Constitution is as important for what it does not say as for what it does say, and on state infrastructure, it is laconic. Arguably, we imply and express loyalty to the Irish Constitution because of rather than despite its mystery. The Irish have no monopoly on this. The degree to which the British defend their unwritten (and, presumably, unread) constitution against ‘foreign’ influences is extraordinary and yet banal. Wilde was right: “Ignorance is a delicate and exotic fruit, touch it and the bloom is gone”! Any constitution depends, for its life and meaning, on sound judicial interpretation and effective political processes that facilitate constitutional change when necessary. The politics of the Constitution float doggedly and unavoidably in the slipstream of Constitutional Law. Those who pretend otherwise are being less than frank. The line between law and politics, however clear to some, is porous. This is a comment on judges and human rights activists. The apparent disdain for politics on the part of some rights enthusiasts offends judges and others who are alive to the dangers of judicial trespass on the political domain but it may well indicate an astute appreciation on the part of such enthusiasts of the dysfunction at the heart of the Irish polity. Whether this is an intended consequence of the 1937 Constitution or a subversion of that instrument is an open question. For civil society there is always a tension between the ‘winner takes all’ view of politics and a version of politics that settles for a privileged or even élitist presence for ‘good causes’ or ‘special groups’ in the political firmament. Both views of politics are fixated on tidiness but human rights activism – in all its guises – is a messy struggle that engages politics and law in a most untidy way. It may be that the effort to create a superstructure for the protection of human rights – through a variety of institutions and structured dialogues – is an attempt to manage dissent tidily. The state is more complex and dimensional than some would like it to be and, despite appearances, this is not entirely accidental. The preference for a neater, tidier state may well be a function of the bonding that occurs between the prolonged and virtually uninterrupted co-existence of one political tribe and the permanent bureaucratic tribe. There is nothing quite so ‘agreeable’ as groupthink passed off as orthodoxy. Human rights must never be advocated as ideology or proselytised as ‘new civic religion’. Human rights provide a language for discourse that is civilised and civilising and that must assert itself in political debate while emphasising the place of law or even ‘human rights law’. This is not to profess a false modesty for either law or human rights law but, rather, to caution against the risks of overstating the importance of (inevitably subjective) human rights values or overstating the case for international human rights law as a system of codified and authoritative values. To make such a modest proposal is not to internalise criticisms, by powerful voices of certain human rights and of the human-rights community, that are neither well-founded nor well-made. A more rigorous debate about the relevance of international human-rights standards and processes in the domestic sphere is urgently required. This should not be framed or determined by defensiveness about municipal law in the form of the Irish Constitution 1937. That Constitution, like its architect, De Valera, was internationally aware. The dualism provided for in Article 29 of the Constitution, whereby international instruments to which the state is a party only become part of domestic law when ‘incorporated’ into Irish law by the Oireachtas, is an enabling provision of the Constitution and not ‘an insuperable obstacle’ to a stronger alignment of domestic law and international human rights obligations. The obstacle, such as it is, is political and not legal. The apparent resistance to more robust ‘external’ supervision by international bodies and to more direct recourse to international standards in the Irish courts may indicate a somewhat belated backlash that looks like eccentric nationalism. Recent controversies involving the office of Ombudsman and the Executive in relation to the ‘Lost at Sea Scheme’ are indicative of a desire – politically, at least – for a simpler and less complex state. So too is the current fashion for attacking ‘quangos’,

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