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    Lets talk about equality not facial space

    The Oxfam Davos Report published on January 18 got relatively little media coverage here and was buried after twenty-four hours. Yet its content is truly shocking, pointing to a world that is witnessing massive inequality and an ever-widening chasm in the wealth of the big majority of humanity as against that of a tiny elite. For the first time in history the wealth of the richest 1% is greater than the aggregated wealth of the remaining 99%. This should be a central feature in the current General Election campaign because it has huge ramifications for global developments that will impact on Ireland but also because chronic inequality is growing apace in this State also. You wouldn’t think that from the statements of the establishment political parties, nor from the issues emphasised by the big-business-owned media. In fact there is a concerted effort to not go there as seen in the controversy around the so-called ‘fiscal space’. The contrived debate on the fiscal space is really designed to shut down any meaningful discussion on what wealth exists here and how it should be shared and managed. It wants to confine commentary to the narrowest of parameters around an estimated €10 billion that will be available in extra public spending over the next five years based on assumptions of a certain level of economic growth. What this shuts out is any opening up of a debate on the massive wealth that exists outside of the current parameters of taxation policy and practice. Hence we have not only Fine Gael, Labour and Fianna Fail focusing obsessively on this, but Sinn Féin also chastising the other parties for being ‘irresponsible’ in their approach in exaggerating the amount available. Excluded therefore is any consideration of the €30 billion in extra wealth that the richest 300 in this State have garnered since 2010 according to the Sunday Independent Rich List while the majority groaned under the yoke of austerity. Excluded also are the massive profits reaped by big business including the major multinational corporations and the derisory tax that is levied on them. It is well known that the headline 12.5% corporation rate is but a vague target. It would be very generous to the corporations to say, as Eurostat figures do, that they pay an effective rate of 8.3% but if we were to take that as true, it would mean a very significant €2 billion each year could be raised if the headline were insisted on. Over five years that would immediately double the ‘fiscal space’. For every 1% increase after that there would be an extra annual €500 million for public investment and services. This is not even to take account of the work of Trinity College Associate Professor of Finance, Jim Stewart, who told an Oireachtas Subcommittee in 2014 that a massive €40 billion annual profits of Irish registered companies lies completely outside the tax net. The Anti Austerity Alliance Budget Statement from  October 2015 outlines how massively increased resources could be made available for major public investment in areas like social and affordable homes and greatly improved public services by taxing the real wealth that exists. Where these extra funds could be raised in addition to the corporation tax increased intake, would be a ‘millionaires’ tax on wealth, an increase in tax for individuals earning over €100,000 per year and a Financial Transactions Tax. Depending on the rates applied, extra income of up to €10 billion a year could be realised. In view of the Oxfam report and the growing inequality in Ireland itself the debate should urgently begin on national and international taxation policy and the massive shift of wealth from the 1% to the 99%. In the United States Bernie Sanders, describing himself as a democratic socialist, is generating major political waves and massive support among working people and the poor, with his call for a “‘political revolution”. The Left in Ireland is the only force that is attempting to inject similar ideas in to the election cam- paign here. If the electoral initiative of the Anti Austerity Alliance People Before Profit achieves the requisite seven Dáil deputies to form an official parliamentary group in the next Dáil, that debate can be significantly advanced here also. Joe Higgins TD is Campaign Manager for the Anti-Aus- terity Alliance. €40 billion annual profits of Irish registered companies lie completely outside the  tax net by Joe Higgins

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    What percentage the tax-take needs to be

    POINTERS FOR ECONOMIC EQUALITY 1. Jobs and long-term Unemployment The recovery in jobs is an important contribution to addressing recent, recession induced, levels of economic inequality. However, it is not the only contribution required of the labour market. The key labour market, and perhaps key public policy, issue for the next decade will be long-term unemployment and the need for resourced and strategic interventions to assist large numbers of people getting back to work. The boom proved that most of these people will happily work. However, without active support, little of which is currently being provided, these people are likely to be trapped in long-term unemployment. 2. Fair Pay Fair pay is usually seen as a low-pay issue. However, there are fair-pay problems at both ends of the earnings distribution. With one in five workers living on less than the living wage, the challenge for many workers to make ends meet remains difficult. At the other end of the labour market high pay has become more and more disconnected from the reality of decent pay, average earnings, living costs and the appropriate rewards employees should get for their service. Policy aimed at addressing, and reducing, economic inequality will need to focus on pay at both ends of this distribution and pursue strategies to narrow the overall distribution. 3. Welfare The welfare system is the core mechanism for economic equality. Social-protection payments provide a safety net for almost all families and directly support the living standards of a large proportion of our population. The system dramatically alters the shape of our income distribution and enhances equality via child benefit, illness and disability payments, unemployment supports and old age pensions, among others. As the recovery unfolds, there is a danger that welfare will be deprioritised as the policy focus shifts elsewhere. The experience of the last Irish recovery, in the late 1990s is telling. In a few short years the poverty rates of welfare-dependent households sky-rocketed with, for example, pensioner poverty increasing from 5.9% in 1994 to 44.1% in 2001. Earnings increases and income tax reductions flowed to others and those dependent on welfare slipped further and further behind. It took some significant welfare increases in the early 2000s to address the legacy of these decisions. It is important for economic inequality to maintain the relative value of welfare payments and increase them in line with living costs and changes in earnings elsewhere in society. 4. Taxation There is an issue regarding the appropriateness and adequacy of current Government plans for the scale of the overall tax take, as set out in the Spring Statement and Budget 2016. While one can argue about how much or how little tax needs to be collected to run the country, the realistic range sits somewhere between 31% and 35% of GDP. However, current plans are for a tax take of around 29% of GDP; a figure that is unrealistic and puts unnecessary pressure on the appropriate provision of public services across the state. Where these services are under-delivered, it is those who are most disadvantaged in society who suffer most. There are economic-equality issues related to the nature of public spending and taxation changes that are planned. Taxation changes focused on income, whether through USC changes/abolition or changes to bands, rates and credits, will by definition benefit those with taxable income; people who are predominantly located in the top half of the income distribution. From the perspective of tackling, rather than enhancing, economic inequality, fairness in any structural reform of the taxation system, or offsetting accompanying measures is crucial. 5. Women On average women are better educated, brighter, and longer-lived yet are paid less and are more disadvantaged than men. This points towards structural problems that we need aggressively to address. The gender-specific nature of these inequalities is reinforced by the fact that they spread right across the income distribution. 6. Children One in five children live in a household with an income below the poverty line. The longterm implications and costs of childhood disadvantage are very high: multiples of the costs associated with addressing these issues now. The return on investing in addressing these issues now is many times the return available elsewhere; or indeed any benefit-cost ratio threshold. Early Childhood Care and Education programmes providing a free year of care and education for children of pre-school age, school meals in disadvantaged areas, adequate and affordable childcare facilities and targeted library services for children are just some of the options available. Dr Micheál Collins is Senior Research Officer at the Nevin Economic Research Institute (NERI) and an adjunct Professor of Economics at Trinity College Dublin.

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    Editorial – Election 2016.

    In 2011 we wrote in this space, “You would think from our recent history of some of the most notoriously bad governance on the planet, that we would have learnt that our political classes need to be replaced. In fact, this election time we see no new ideas”. Sadly democracy in Ireland needs an overhaul every bit as much now as it did in 2011. Village is disappointed at the quality of politics, across the range. It’s easily diagnosed: Fine Gael is open to regressive policies and cronyism. However, at least on its own terms it deserves credit because it has consistently stuck to its agenda of (unimaginative) economic orthodoxy and because Enda Kenny has proved relatively competent, in the face of scepticism, including from this magazine. In 2011, we stated, “ Perhaps it is a unique merit of Fine Gael that if it is elected with a mandate, this time it may actually govern as it has campaigned. The electorate will be able to assess whether what it voted for was what it wanted”. This edition of Village explores at length the extent to which the coalition government delivered on its Programme for Government. It’s a fair test and it shows that, beyond promoting economic stability, the Government has been a disappointment. Labour certainly does not have the Fine Gael appeal of consistency. It never does what its manifestos promise. Worse, a number of its senior TDs have allowed themselves to appear smug and ideologically jaded or even, in Alan Kelly’s case, dangerous. Because of the elasticity of its conscience Labour has long attracted the wrong type of representatives. Fianna Fáil is tainted by its reckless past and the incoherence of its platform. It believes serving the people, parish and business in equal measure is viable. It has learnt little beyond the need to regulate the banks. Sinn Féin’s commitment to a Left agenda is unclear bearing in mind its defining preference for irredentist nationalism over ideology, its centrist pragmatism in the North and its willingness to coalesce with Fianna Fáil. Its performance at local-authority level is not impressive or particularly leftist. It is cultist, and ambivalent about democracy and transparency, and its leaders lie casually about its, and particularly its leader Gerry Adams’, past. Renua seems like a somehow unendearing chip off Fine Gael’s Christian Democratic block, with a penchant for propriety. The Independent Alliance (dubbed Shane Féin) is utterly incoherent of policy and membership. If ex-stockbroker Mr Ross and turfcutter Michael Fitzmaurice ever breathed an atom of the same political air, Village cannot imagine where it was. Village has a weakness for the Social Democrats, whose mild platform is essentially the same as Labour’s, though strangely more pro-business, but whose small membership is more prepossessing. Its antipathy to water taxes is expedient but regrettable. The radical Left offers the huge appeal of integrity and seriousness but its opposition to property taxes is inexcusable, and its focus on opposition to the loathed water taxes rather than a broader anti-inequality platform, including opposition to the iniquities of Nama, corruption and the resurrection of the developer classes has diverted its revolutionary ideology. The Green Party’s policies are often radical, and its agenda mature, but it is not hard-minded and it achieved so little in the last government that it is difficult to be enthusiastic. To the extent that we have not afforded space in this edition of Village to the policies and protagonists of most of these parties, it is because they simply don’t offer enough to justify it. Village believes equality of outcome, sustainability and accountability are the most important policies; and it is difficult to be optimistic about their immediate Irish prospects. Laboured machinations over the fiscal space are ephemeral, though most of the other media address little else. Reflecting the need for a vision of society as well as economy this edition focuses on the coalition’s delivery across a number of departments that promote equality, sustainability and accountability, though we do have articles by Constantin Gurdgiev, Michelle Murphy and Sinead Pentony on the iniquitous handling of the fragile economy. We consider Education, Health, Social Welfare, Environment including climate change, Small Firms policy, and Accountability. These departments make life worth living. We systematically assess whether they achieved the goals set by the Government for each of them when it took office. In the end the conclusion is that they have underperformed. And so therefore has the unimaginative, regressive and stolid Government behind them. Against this backdrop, we would again not presume to advise readers where to direct their votes. However, we can say the non-ideological, non-visionary parties of the pragmatic centre hold little appeal, even when mitigated by somewhat more thoughtful ones. A coalition of the parties of the Left, radical Left and the Greens would, as always, best promote Village’s agenda, if no doubt imperfectly.

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    Agenda for the Left: address 99:1 inequality.

    By Joe Higgins. The Oxfam Davos Report published on January 18 got relatively little media coverage here and was buried after twenty-four hours. Yet its content is truly shocking, pointing to a world that is witnessing massive inequality and an ever-widening chasm in the wealth of the big majority of humanity as against that of a tiny elite. For the first time in history the wealth of the richest 1% is greater than the aggregated wealth of the remaining 99%. €40 billion annual profits of Irish registered companies lie completely outside the tax net This should be a central feature in the current General Election campaign because it has huge ramifications for global developments that will impact on Ireland but also because chronic inequality is growing apace in this State also. You wouldn’t think that from the statements of the establishment political parties, nor from the issues emphasised by the big-business-owned media. In fact there is a concerted effort to not go there as seen in the controversy around the so-called ‘fiscal space’. The contrived debate on the fiscal space is really designed to shut down any meaningful discussion on what wealth exists here and how it should be shared and managed. It wants to confine commentary to the narrowest of parameters around an estimated €10 billion that will be available in extra public spending over the next five years based on assumptions of a certain level of economic growth. What this shuts out is any opening up of a debate on the massive wealth that exists outside of the current parameters of taxation policy and practice. Hence we have not only Fine Gael, Labour and Fianna Fail focusing obsessively on this, but Sinn Féin also chastising the other parties for being ‘irresponsible’ in their approach in exaggerating the amount available. Excluded therefore is any consideration of the €30 billion in extra wealth that the richest 300 in this State have garnered since 2010 according to the Sunday Independent Rich List while the majority groaned under the yoke of austerity. Excluded also are the massive profits reaped by big business including the major multinational corporations and the derisory tax that is levied on them. It is well known that the headline 12.5% corporation rate is but a vague target. It would be very generous to the corporations to say, as Eurostat figures do, that they pay an effective rate of 8.3% but if we were to take that as true, it would mean a very significant €2 billion each year could be raised if the headline were insisted on. Over five years that would immediately double the ‘fiscal space’. For every 1% increase after that there would be an extra annual €500 million for public investment and services. This is not even to take account of the work of Trinity College Associate Professor of Finance, Jim Stewart, who told an Oireachtas Subcommittee in 2014 that a massive €40 billion annual profits of Irish registered companies lies completely outside the tax net. The Anti Austerity Alliance Budget Statement from October 2015 outlines how massively increased resources could be made available for major public investment in areas like social and affordable homes and greatly improved public services by taxing the real wealth that exists. Where these extra funds could be raised in addition to the corporation tax increased intake, would be a ‘millionaires’ tax on wealth, an increase in tax for individuals earning over €100,000 per year and a Financial Transactions Tax. Depending on the rates applied, extra income of up to €10 billion a year could be realised. In view of the Oxfam report and the growing inequality in Ireland itself the debate should urgently begin on national and international taxation policy and the massive shift of wealth from the 1% to the 99%. In the United States Bernie Sanders, describing himself as a democratic socialist, is generating major political waves and massive support among working people and the poor, with his call for a “‘political revolution”. The Left in Ireland is the only force that is attempting to inject similar ideas in to the election campaign here. If the electoral initiative of the Anti Austerity Alliance-People Before Profit achieves the requisite seven Dáil deputies to form an official parliamentary group in the next Dáil, that debate can be significantly advanced here also. Joe Higgins TD is Director of Elections for the Anti-Austerity Alliance

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    Social Protection – Report Card.

    Result: C kept core benefits but regressively reduced much else Jobseeker’s allowance, jobseeker’s benefit, the one-parent-family parent payment and disability benefit. are the key welfare payments provided by the State. They were reduced drastically between 2009 and 2011-12 and have been frozen since then. To restore these core welfare payments to their 2009 level, taking account of inflation, would require an increase of at least €27 per week for a single adult and €40 per week for a couple. Although core benefits have been maintained, almost everything else has been reduced. Up to Budget 2015 there have been four budgets, with a net reduction to the social protection budget of almost €900m. Of all the budgets, only one saw an expansion of welfare spending: Budget 2015 saw a €198m increase in welfare funding, still less than the €226m cut of the previous year. Overall, there has been a net reduction of spending on social welfare of 4.5% since Joan Burton took over. More generally, Budget 2016 was the fifth regressive Budget in a row. While it was not as regressive as in previous years and contained some gain for everyone, there was much more for the wealthier and far less for poor and vulnerable people.  While single unemployed people will gain €95 a year, single people earning €75,000 will gain almost ten times as much i.e. €902.  In the case of couples, the unemployed will gain €157 a year while a couple with two earners on €125,000 a year will gain nine times as much i.e. an extra €1,408 a year. Budget 2016 widened the rich-poor gap by €506 a year.  This measures the gap between the disposable income of a single unemployed person and a single person on €50,000 per annum. If compared with people on higher salaries the rich-poor gap has widened even more (cf. p.9)  The rich/poor gap has widened by €1,003 in two years as a result of this government’s budget decisions.  The reality of budget 2016 is that a single unemployed adult will gain €95 per annum, while a single person earning €75,000 per annum will gain €902. An unemployed couple will gain €157 per annum, while a couple jointly earning €125,000 per annum will gain €1,400 per annum. In 2012 under Pathways to Work labour-market ‘programmes’ (eg in-work benefits, job creation programmes, placement services, training and counselling) they were strengthened and made mandatory, and benefits were made more clearly dependentl on job-seeking efforts and engagement with social welfare services. Non-compliance of any sort can result in sanctions – a reduction of €44 per week or a cessation of payment for up to 9 weeks. For instance, refusing to take an internship can lead to this form of punishment. The Department of Social Protection has contracted two private companies to deliver JobPath.A British recruitment firm, Seetec, has been contracted to deliver these activation services in the north of the country and Dublin. An Turas Nua, a consortium of Irish-based recruitment company FRS and the UK company Working Links, will run the programme in the south of the country. It is understood that each contractor must service 25,000 long-term unemployed people a year in their search for employment. They will do this through a supply chain of sub-contracted local, private and not-for-profit, specialist organisations. We need more scrutiny on the motivations behind this decision and its possible consequences. The explicit driver for this partial privatisation of Irish public employment services is the inability of existing public services to support large numbers of long-term unemployed people back into the labour market.  However, we need to be mindful that, elsewhere, such privatisation has been at least partially motivated by the desire to implement sanctions-driven ‘pay by result’ regimes which many public-sector and not-for-profit organisations have been reluctant or unable to deliver. Activation policy now appears to be moving towards a ‘work first’ model that stresses job-search assistance with less emphasis on education and training. In many similar ‘work first’ and ‘pay by result’ régimes the most vulnerable of welfare claimants (people experiencing literacy, homelessness, addiction, domestic-violence, and mental health issues) are the most likely to experience sanctions. Activisation policies have been popular in the USA and Scandinavia since the 1970s; and have been warmly embraced by Merkel in Germany and Cameron in the UK. Report Card – Social Welfare

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    Energy, Environment and Planning – Report Card.

    Result: D Two foolish Ministers for the Environment merely went throught the motions The environment isn’t a vested interest so it doesn’t rate in Ireland. Enda Kenny argues for Irish exceptionalism on climate change and prevailed in Europe which has now recognised the special position of Irish agriculture in European climate-change policy. We’re not and we do not deserve to get any exemptions at all. We’re a wealthy country that emits twice as much Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions as for example the Swedish, per head. If cattle farming is noxious, the world needs to stop it, not allow more of it to happen in Ireland which does it marginally less noxiously than most others. The number of wild animals on Earth – vertebrates – has halved in the past 40 years, yet Ireland pursues food-production targets that will devastate our wildlife. The Department of the Environment isn’t too keen on environmentalism so the new planning bills are inert, any new national spatial strategy will be toothless, and there is no chance of a binding Climate Change Act or the elevation of quality of life over GDP growth as the benchmark of ireland’s success. Most of all Ireland’s planning and environmental regime remains discretionary and unenforced, characterised by the use of terms like “may: rather than “shall” and “shall have regard to” rather than “shall be in compliance with”. Our heart isn’t in it. Report Card – Energy, Environment and Planning

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    Health – Report Card.

    Result: D A poor vision that failed. Everyone who is ordinarily resident in the country has access to public hospital services, whether they have health insurance, a medical card or nothing at all. The services may not be free and may be subject to waiting times depending on medical condition. Without a medical card patients are charged €100 for all treatment received in a public hospital accident and emergency room, though a referral letter obviates the charge. A White Paper on Universal Health Insurance was published in 2014 with a report on the potential costs of the White Paper model published in November 2015. The debate was always too much about the cost of this rather than on how a focus on insurance might actually serve the presumed goal of universal healthcare. In the end Leo Varadkar suspended it, likening universal health insurance to Irish Water. He claimed it would have been impossible to impose the extra fees without a backlash from struggling families. While denying the Coalition had performed a U-turn on its central health policy, he was unable to give any specific year as to when a new version will be introduced. He also appeared to criticise his predecessor James Reilly by alleging there had been an “obsession” with the Dutch form of UHI. Varadkar insists the Coalition remains committed to introducing the policy at some unspecified stage in the future. The Irish health system ranks 21st in the 2015 Euro Health Consumer Index, up one place from 2014 but down from 14th in 2013. Lower-income countries such as Macedonia, Croatia and Slovenia all rank ahead of Ireland in the index, which is led by the Netherlands and Switzerland. And there has been a litany of specific scandals and failures that have characterised the media discourse on health. Or the consistent overspends. Enda Kenny says his greatest disappointment as Taoiseach is ongoing stories of people’s negative experience with the health services. Most of the health issues in the general election arise inevitably not from abstract policy but from crises and failures to address long-standing problems. Unfortunately for the government the public perception of the health service remains that it is a sort of dysfunctional “Angola”: Rebecca O’Malley, Susie Long, Leas Cross, Áras Attracta, Savita Halappanavar and ‘Grace’, the woman with intellectual disabilities who was tortured and sexually abused in a foster home over thirteen years. Worse still the proportion of the Irish population that was over the age of 65 has been static at 11% for years. But forecasts suggest that the percentage of people over the age of 65 will rise to 26% by 2026. About 20,000 additional people turn 65 each year and the actual number of people over that age will double in the next few decades. Within that the number of “older old”, people over the age of 80, will double. Minister for Health Leo Varadkar no longer repeats the 2011 election pledge to bring an end to the hospital trolley crisis. The Government should move towards a similar system to that of the UK where trolley counts are not relied upon to examine waiting times. Meanwhile, though there has been some marginal improvement since last year, overcrowded Emergency Departments (EDs), famously described by actor Brendan Gleeson in 2004 on the Late Late Show as “unspeakable… like a military field hospital… a disgrace… a war crime” continue to make it difficult for staff to fully examine and adequately treat patients, risking cross-infection and patient safety. There have been improvements in the number of emergency consultants (though problems subsist at weekends and nights) and the out-of-hours availability of GPs but the biggest problems are the maintenance of too many EDs (30 countrywide) and the under-resourcing of alternative primary care. Furthermore there has been for example no systematic introduction of minor-injury clinics, or deployment of techniques like acute medical assessment and early-discharge planning, no improvement in GPs’ access to diagnostics to enable them to avoid sending patients to hospitals, or improvement in hospital IT. Report Card – Health

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    Luck, charm, good handlers and a ruthless streak make him the man to beat in election 2016

    Enda Kenny has defied those detractors who have claimed for many years that he is not up to the job of leading the country. Or has he? His supporters claim that he has brought the country, and the economy, from the brink of complete meltdown to steady recovery and is now set to be the first Fine Gael leader to claim the title of Taoiseach in successive elections. Others say that timing and luck have played a huge part in his belated success after more than 40 years in the Dáil and that victory in this month’s poll is by no means certain. Over the past five years, Kenny has displayed many of the characteristics that marked the career of his long-term adversary, Bertie Ahern, including the ability to shake off, or at least postpone, controversies that would have caused terminal damage to other party leaders. His claim to have secured a significant debt write-down from his EU partners in June 2012 proved to be untrue. His siding with the ECB and the Bundesbank against the struggling Greek people who put the radical leftists of Syriza into power was self-serving and opportunist and arguably undermined any prospect of Ireland getting some early relief on its enormous legacy of banking debt. His instruction to the Secretary General of the Department of Justice, Brian Purcell, to make a late-night visit to the Garda Commissioner, Martin Callinan, leading to the resignation of both senior public servants and of his own long -time supporter, Alan Shatter, in mid-2014, is all a fog of obfuscation. Similarly, the manner in which the Commission of Inquiry he announced to examine the purchase of Siteserv by long-time party supporter, Denis O’Brien, and other IBRC sales in mid-2015, was allowed to run into the sand due to its restricted powers and inadequate terms of reference bears all the finger prints of his senior handlers. His outrageous and inaccurate remarks from Davos to Madrid to Paris on Ireland’s crisis and his government’s role in recovery have confirmed that he has not lost the habit of appearing the clown, unintentionally, at the most unexpected moments. Enda Kenny also merits opprobrium for his broken promise to fix the health system, the failure to deal with a deepening housing crisis and the widening of the income divide between the richest and most vulnerable during these past few years. Yet the stars, and international factors, including a strong dollar and sterling, unpredicted multi-national tax payments and the dramatic oil-price collapse have combined to see Kenny emerge as the architect of the fastest-growing economy in Europe and the cheerful bestower of a fistful of promises to simultaneously cut taxes, improve public services and recruit thousands of nurses, teachers and gardaí. Kenny has luck on his side. He was fortunate to lose the leadership contest against Michael Noonan after John Bruton lost the 1997 general election to Ahern and before the 2002 poll when the Fine Gael vote imploded. Kenny survived with his lowest ever first preference vote in Mayo and Noonan resigned. The Mayo TD took over the party in June 2002 after a battle with Richard Bruton. Kenny was helped by transfers from his soon-to-be key ally, Phil Hogan, in the run-off and after the elimination of Jim Mitchell. He faced into the 2007 general election as the blitz of his bizarre financial arrangements threatened to take out Ahern but failed to convince voters that he could do better than Fianna Fáil in managing a faltering economy. Once again, luck was on Kenny’s side as Brian Cowen replaced Ahern a year later and was engulfed by the banking and property collapse. In 2011, after two failed heaves against him, the Fine Gael leader hauled his party to an historic victory and into government with a resurgent Labour Party, after the Fianna Fáil/ Green administration collapsed in acrimony and the people gave it an unprecedented battering in the February election. There is no doubt that he has rid himself of the ‘Bertie lite’ tag that dogged him for years, although his closest aides still do not trust him enough to let him out on his own too often. Kenny maintains a quirky, hail-fellow-wellmet style that makes him seem like a country bumpkin but disguises a more ruthless political streak and shrewdness.. In mid-2014, Kenny publicly distanced his Enda Kenny: not so lite now Luck, charm, good handlers and a ruthless streak make him the man to beat in election 2016 by Frank Connolly He merits opprobrium for his broken promise to fix the health system, the failure to deal with a deepening housing crisis and the widening of the income divide between the richest and most vulnerable during these past few years February 2016 19 party from its key strategist, and his close friend, Frank Flannery who was embroiled in a financial scandal which erupted after details emerged of enormous salaries and other payments involving the Rehab charity and its senior executives. Flannery who had left the charity some years previously was still being well paid by Rehab for consultancy work which involved lobbying his colleagues in Fine Gael. He had a pass for Leinster House and free parking which the public was informed was being removed. It was a humiliating experience for the suave PR man and no doubt difficult for Kenny. A few weeks later the pair sat down for lunch in Dobbins restaurant near the Dáil along with another old friend and party elder, the late Bill O’ Herlihy. Kenny expressed a degree of regret that Flannery had been shafted and was sorry that he had to withdraw his valuable Dáil pass. “Don’t worry about that, Enda”, replied Flannery, or words to that effect, as he pulled the pass from his jacket pocket, to laughter all round. Kenny never forgets his friends even when the going gets tough. Kenny was gifted a Dáil seat for Mayo west in November 1975 after the premature death of his father, Henry, from cancer. The

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